Blindside (Record no. 214643)
| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 03130nam a22003614a 4500 |
| 082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
| Classification number | 363.34/7 |
| 245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Blindside |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
| Place of publication | Washington, D.C. : |
| Name of publisher | Brookings Institution Press, |
| Year of publication | c2007. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Number of Pages | vi, 198 p. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | "An American Interest Book." |
| 505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
| Formatted contents note | The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc | "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical Term | Emergency management |
| Topical Term | International relations. |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Fukuyama, Francis. |
| 856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | http://site.ebrary.com/lib/rucke/Doc?id=10193747 |
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